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2007年11月24日星期六

Next Monday is low and open high to go , under a tape, the length of shadow line is positive to establish bottom area

Invest in theory in person: Insist in in short line and long term operating theory. In the tendency that short line follows. In long term discovery value. In the fund control of short line is in the 1/3 of total fund. In long term fund control is in the 2/3 of total fund.

Coil to analyse: Last Friday( No.11.09) big plate has been declining at forteen o'clock, at that time, it is very strange that I feel , because Thursday( No.11.08) a plate of end city puts quantity mad have fallen at two hundreds and seventy-one o'clock, normally, say that Friday should be also to be declining considerably, and will fall very much miserable just as, because in weekend, all will prevent that there is major sharp empty news probably to happen , should look around from site just as, but have no. Let one indissoluble very much!

Today( 2007.11, No.10 ) news, surface has the message with more 3 more sensitive comparison: It is first: Certificate prison will beg fund to control storehouse position, storehouse position can not exceed 7 to become , can only be sold , can not be bought. Control fund development scale strictly, a lot of funds have suspended according to requirement to state to buy 6 months. It is second: To strengthen bank system mobility management , restrain currency credit to pass rapid increase , People's Bank of China decides , is from November 26,2007 , go up the tune deposit kind of RMB deposit rate of financial institution of capital reserve 0.5 percentage points. It is 3th: Share finger futures are possible with 2007.12, No.28 puts out. In the clear block accelerated by gold.

3 above message at the same time appears in Saturday, have explained in the reason that has not fallen considerably urgently Friday why coil , market has begun in advance to have digested the sharp empty, 3 message of Saturday, have been known in advance by big main force, so, fall in advance , last Thursday fall , market main force has even let in fresh air to a lot of investors, when I located little unit, it has person to be advanced to know Thursday fall.

Market main force has let in fresh air to the purpose of a lot of investors to be what? Say normally: If big fund will withdraw , should is quietly run road, dozen gun do not want. So, have only a possibility: Market main force the city after values still , is to think that it is former to reach purpose - - - - in share to point at futures to put out, lower the big price of blue chips in order to reach to throw high the low purpose inhaled.

Because of the first message tell us: Stop publishing new fund, stop a time state to buy , it may snatch chip if fund has had no fund. But share finger futures put out , will grasp language right have must have plenty of blue chips. , what to be done? So fund the possible message of having known using these jointly goes to do , and tell some investors with good intention , and let fall to carry out , so make panic, Gao Wei throws , low position is again entered , have not only gained price difference , and still increase chip.

However, market goes up not only is public to raise the world of fund, Chinese the stock market of today is brought up by the capital market of whole world. Force is huge and personal to raise fund, they also have pretty extensive alliance, foreign financial capital big crocodile enters Chinese the stock market through various channels , has QFII of 3E+10 dollars at the end of the year to enter Chinese the stock market, public raise fund if do error , fiery marquis assurance is not good , do do not regard well to these tigers Dan Dan capital make to marry clothing.

So, under one of my bold forecast: Next Monday is low and open high to go , a tape the long positive establishment of next shadow line the probability of bottom area is very big. But the tendency of big a plate of casing adjustment will run a time and this part time, short line opportunity does not be held very much. Suggest to do not do short line.

Because of market, have entered adjustment stage, so, I am No. 12 in 2007.10 , with 10.65 cost prices, buy 600050 China Unicoms that enter , will also enter adjustment stage , am adjusting stage , I will with more flexible way, or it is low to inhale cost reduction to throw high.


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